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Frontline hiring

Forty Résumés, One Address

What actually broke in American hiring — and why the fix isn't more applicants.

Ryan Reisner · Owner, The Reisner Group and SeekerPitch, Inc.
· 9 min read

One opening. Forty applications received.

All 40 applicants listed the same address.

Illustrative rendering of an account relayed to the author by an employer.

An employer told me last week that they'd received forty résumés for one opening. All forty listed the same address.

Somebody was playing the numbers game. Fire off enough applications and something eventually lands. That employer's pipeline wasn't full of candidates — it was full of noise. And somebody on their team had to sit down and work through all forty before they even understood what they were looking at.

I've spent twenty years placing people in retail, restaurants and hospitality. I've watched this get worse every year. And I'll say something you don't often hear from someone who runs an AI company:

AI has made hiring worse before it's made it better.

The tool we're using is a hundred years old

Here's the part nobody wants to say out loud. We are still judging human beings off a résumé — a format that has been the standard for close to a hundred years.

That was already a weak signal. Now it's a broken one.

Easy Apply means a candidate can click two buttons and apply to a hundred jobs. Half the time they don't know where they've applied. Candidate pools are saturated. Bots are filling them. And anyone can now produce a résumé that perfectly matches a job description, because the tools to do it are free and take thirty seconds.

So the employer with forty identical addresses isn't an outlier. That's just what the top of the funnel looks like now.

Meanwhile the question that actually matters — will this person still be here in six months? — is one a résumé has never been able to answer.

We're still judging people off a document that stopped telling us anything useful.

Ryan Reisner

The substitution spectrum

No skill group is rated very highly substitutable by AI. Roughly seven in ten sit at the low end of the scale.

Share of 2,800+ granular skills, by GenAI's assessed capacity to substitute a human

Very high capacity
0%
Moderate capacity
28.5%
Low or very low capacity
~69%

The report states these three shares only; it does not publish a separate figure for the 'high capacity' band.

Source: The Future of Jobs Report 2025, World Economic Forum (2025). Box 3.1, Figure B3.1 (pp. 43–44).

Method: Analysis by Indeed for the report. Ratings come from GPT-4o assessing its own ability to perform each skill, across 2,800+ granular skills in the Indeed database as of August 2024 — not an employer survey.

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<figure> <img src="https://seekerpitch.com/charts/wef/chart-1-substitution-spectrum.png" alt="The substitution spectrum" width="1200" height="675" /> <figcaption>Chart: <a href="https://seekerpitch.com/insights/forty-resumes-one-address">SeekerPitch</a></figcaption> </figure>

That is worth sitting with. Across more than 2,800 skills, not one came back as something today's AI can fully take over. And the churn everyone is bracing for is smaller than it was two years ago, not larger.

How much of a job's skill set is expected to change

The expected churn in required skills has come down, not up — employers now expect less disruption by 2030 than they did in 2023.

Share of workers' core skills employers expect to change

Expectation recorded in 2023
44%
Expectation for 2030
39%
Source: The Future of Jobs Report 2025, World Economic Forum (2025). Figure 3.1.
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<figure> <img src="https://seekerpitch.com/charts/wef/chart-3-skills-change-over-time.png" alt="How much of a job's skill set is expected to change" width="1200" height="675" /> <figcaption>Chart: <a href="https://seekerpitch.com/insights/forty-resumes-one-address">SeekerPitch</a></figcaption> </figure>

The number that should worry every operator

The Bureau of Labor Statistics tracks how many people voluntarily quit their jobs each month. It's the cleanest read we have on whether workers feel they have options.

4.5%

of accommodation and food services workers quit their jobs in a single month. The all-industry average is roughly 2%.

U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS). Accommodation and Food Services quits rate [JTS7200QUR], 4.5%, June 2026, seasonally adjusted; series updated 4 August 2026. All-industry quits rate approximately 2.0%, March 2026. JOLTS data are survey-based and subject to revision. bls.gov/jlt

Restaurant and hotel workers walk out the door at more than twice the national rate. Every month. Not once a year — every month.

That isn't an abstract labor-market statistic. That's a description of what a general manager's week actually looks like. Constantly hiring. Constantly training. Constantly covering a shift for somebody who left.

And every one of those hires runs through the same broken screening process.

And it is the sector where the technology everyone is talking about has arrived the least.

Sector exposure to AI-driven skill growth

Accommodation, food and leisure is the sector least reshaped by AI skill demand — well below sectors clearing 90%.

Share of respondents expecting AI and big data skills to increase in use

Top 10 industries
over 90%
Agriculture, forestry and fishing
70%
Accommodation, food and leisure
69%
Source: The Future of Jobs Report 2025, World Economic Forum (2025). Figure 3.5 (p. 38).
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<figure> <img src="https://seekerpitch.com/charts/wef/chart-5-sector-exposure.png" alt="Sector exposure to AI-driven skill growth" width="1200" height="675" /> <figcaption>Chart: <a href="https://seekerpitch.com/insights/forty-resumes-one-address">SeekerPitch</a></figcaption> </figure>

What actually happens in week three

When someone quits three weeks in, it comes down to one of two things. Either they were never really interested in the job — they had one foot out the door from day one and were waiting on an offer somewhere else. Or there was a genuine failure on our side: a lack of training, or nobody clearly set the expectations of the role.

In my experience it's close to a fifty-fifty split.

That second half matters, and I'd rather say it than pretend hiring is the only variable. Half the time we didn't hire wrong. We hired fine, and then we failed them.

The variable almost nobody screens for

If you ask me the single biggest reason people stay or leave, it isn't pay. It isn't the generation. It's the manager.

A manager needs three things: the ability to sell, the ability to be empathetic, and the ability to communicate. When a manager has all three, they give a human being a sense of relief, stability and confidence. That creates attraction. That creates longevity. When you communicate clearly, set expectations, and get someone to agree to those expectations, you create continuity.

The manager is also the one doing the training. They're doing the follow-ups. They're making sure somebody actually learned a process rather than being shown it once on a busy Tuesday.

So when there's instability at the top, that instability runs all the way down. In an industry that's already a revolving door, it compounds — and the pressure, the burnout and the mental health toll land on everyone still standing.

A manager needs the ability to sell, to be empathetic, and to communicate. When they have all three, they give a person a sense of relief, stability and confidence. That creates longevity.

Ryan Reisner

The skills with zero substitution

Three capability groups sit at the bottom of the substitution scale — and all three are the ones frontline work runs on.

Skill groups the analysis places at the bottom of the scale, with no substitution potential

Empathy and active listening
No substitution potential identified
Sensory-processing abilities
No substitution potential identified
Manual dexterity, endurance and precision
No substitution potential identified
Source: The Future of Jobs Report 2025, World Economic Forum (2025). Box 3.1, Figure B3.1 (pp. 43–44).

Method: Analysis by Indeed for the report. Ratings come from GPT-4o assessing its own ability to perform each skill, across 2,800+ granular skills in the Indeed database as of August 2024 — not an employer survey.

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<figure> <img src="https://seekerpitch.com/charts/wef/chart-2-zero-substitution-skills.png" alt="The skills with zero substitution" width="1200" height="675" /> <figcaption>Chart: <a href="https://seekerpitch.com/insights/forty-resumes-one-address">SeekerPitch</a></figcaption> </figure>

Those are the three the analysis could not find a substitute for. They are also, almost word for word, the things I just said a manager needs. And employers have already noticed — leadership and social influence is the fastest-rising skill in the entire dataset.

Biggest movers since 2023

The fastest-rising skill in employer demand is not technical. Leadership and social influence moved further than AI and big data.

Percentage-point rise since the 2023 edition in the share of respondents naming the skill a core skill

Leadership and social influence
+22 pts
Resilience, flexibility and agility
+17 pts
AI and big data
+17 pts
Source: The Future of Jobs Report 2025, World Economic Forum (2025). Section 3.1 (p. 36).
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<figure> <img src="https://seekerpitch.com/charts/wef/chart-4-biggest-movers.png" alt="Biggest movers since 2023" width="1200" height="675" /> <figcaption>Chart: <a href="https://seekerpitch.com/insights/forty-resumes-one-address">SeekerPitch</a></figcaption> </figure>

Now ask yourself a question. When did you last screen a manager for empathy and communication? Almost nobody does. We check whether they've managed before. We check how many people reported to them. We don't check whether they can hold a team together on the worst night of the month.

Loyalty isn't dead. The trigger changed.

Everyone says workers aren't loyal anymore. I don't think that's quite right.

The days of working at one company for twenty or thirty years — the way the baby boomers did through the manufacturing era — are largely gone. That's true. Gen Z came up differently. Their formative years ran through COVID. They communicate differently. Attention spans are shorter. That's a product of how a generation was raised and educated, not a character flaw.

But loyalty still exists. It just has a different trigger now.

People stay when a company gives them hope and something to work toward consistently. When they know they're making an impact. When somebody has actually helped them figure out what they're interested in and good at.

And in frontline work, the strongest version of that is a visible pathway.

Show someone that working hard, showing up every day, keeping a positive attitude and doing more than the bare minimum leads somewhere specific — and you've given them a reason to stay. But you have to build a culture that actually allows it. Otherwise it's a poster on a break-room wall.

How you give a dishwasher a mission

People push back on this. A dishwasher, a cashier, a server — those jobs don't come with an obvious mission.

You establish it on day one. You say: here's what you can become. And then you point at real people around them who started exactly where they're standing and worked their way up.

That's the American dream. Anybody with a dollar and a dream. You demonstrate work ethic, communication, leadership and vision, and you move.

There's a lot of work to be done. But it starts with admitting that judging people off a résumé stopped working — and that adding more résumés to the pile was never going to be the fix.

What you can change this month

Six things that cost nothing

None of these require software. All of them are things I've watched work.

  1. 1.Tell candidates the worst part of the job in the interview.

    Be specific and be uncomfortable. You will lose some candidates. Those are the ones who would have left in week three anyway.

  2. 2.Say the pathway out loud on day one.

    Name a real person who started in that exact role and show where they are now.

  3. 3.Screen your managers for communication and empathy, not just experience.

    Ask them to walk you through a real conflict they handled and listen to how they describe the other person.

  4. 4.Use situational questions, not hypothetical ones.

    “Tell me about a time you handled a difficult customer” gets you a rehearsed answer. “It's Friday, two people called out, a table's been waiting forty minutes — walk me through your next ten minutes” gets you judgment in real time.

  5. 5.Track why people leave in the first ninety days.

    Exit reasons in weeks two through eight are screening feedback. Most operators never write them down, so the same mistake repeats forever.

  6. 6.Check in on week two, not week twelve.

    The window where you can still save a hire is much shorter than most managers think.

What we built

At SeekerPitch, our AI screener asks behavioral and situational questions and builds what we call a DNA from the answers — including whether somebody can handle a Friday night with high volume, low staff and upset customers.

We're combining pre-hire evidence with performance reviews, attendance records, employment status and exit interview data to find the common denominators in why people actually leave. Then we screen ahead of those patterns and help build training that addresses them.

The point isn't to remove people from hiring. It's the opposite. We keep a human in the loop on every decision, and we give every candidate a chance to actually show what they can do — instead of being judged on a document that's been the standard for a hundred years and stopped telling us anything useful.

Forty résumés, one address. That's the system all of us have been working with. We can do better than that.

SeekerPitch builds AI behavioral screening for high-volume frontline hiring. If you want to see what this looks like on your own roles, we'll walk you through it in fifteen minutes.

Book a 15-minute walkthrough

About the author

Ryan Reisner is the owner of The Reisner Group and SeekerPitch, Inc. He serves on the board of the Texas Association of Staffing and on advisory boards at the University of Central Florida's Integrated Business program and the Milwaukee School of Engineering's Computer Science and Computer Engineering program.

Sources & notes

  • Skill substitutability and skill-demand figures: World Economic Forum, The Future of Jobs Report 2025. The substitutability analysis (Box 3.1, Figure B3.1) was produced by Indeed and rates skills using GPT-4o's assessment of its own ability to perform them — it is not an employer survey and is not an independent evaluation of AI. Sector and skill-demand figures (Figures 3.1 and 3.5) are from the Future of Jobs Survey of employers.
  • Quit rates: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey (JOLTS). Accommodation and Food Services quits rate [JTS7200QUR], 4.5%, June 2026, seasonally adjusted; series updated 4 August 2026. All-industry quits rate approximately 2.0%, March 2026. JOLTS data are survey-based and subject to revision.
  • Retention figure, placement volume and all hiring observations: The Reisner Group's own placement records, 2019–2026. Internal data, not an independently audited benchmark.
  • The fifty-fifty split between candidate-side and employer-side causes of early turnover is the author's professional estimate based on twenty years of placements, not a study.
  • The forty-résumé account was relayed directly to the author by an employer in 2026. The address shown in the graphic above is illustrative.

This article is free to quote with attribution to Ryan Reisner, SeekerPitch, and a link to this page.

Cite this article

Reisner, R. (2026). Forty Résumés, One Address: What actually broke in American hiring — and why the fix isn't more applicants. SeekerPitch. https://seekerpitch.com/insights/forty-resumes-one-address

Media inquiries

Ryan Reisner

Owner, The Reisner Group and SeekerPitch, Inc.

press@seekerpitch.com